Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 6:09·CAR 17, KC 13

   (6:09) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 87-T.Kelce to CAR 12 for 44 yards (24-R.Douglas).

   +20pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:02·CAR 31, KC 33

   (:02) 4-J.Slye 67 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.

   +19pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:33·CAR 31, KC 33

   (1:33) 5-T.Townsend punts 36 yards to CAR 9, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 14-P.Cooper.

   +16pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:54·CAR 7, KC 3

   (14:54) (Punt formation) 3-J.Charlton pass deep left to 16-B.Zylstra to KC 27 for 28 yards (20-A.Hamilton).

   +13pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:11·CAR 17, KC 13

   (:11) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short left to 31-Darr.Williams. PENALTY on KC-87-T.Kelce, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 41 - No Play.

   +12pp

   CAR