Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:57·MIN 12, JAX 7

   (1:57) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 0-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bynum [51-B.Cashman] at MIN -2. Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the touchback ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 0-G.Davis INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bynum [51-B.Cashman] at MIN 1. 24-C.Bynum to MIN 1 for no gain (0-G.Davis).

   +24pp

   MIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:38·MIN 9, JAX 7

   (6:38) 10-M.Jones FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 27, touched at JAX 26, RECOVERED by MIN-97-H.Phillips at JAX 25.

   +21pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:34·MIN 3, JAX 7

   (5:34) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 30-M.Brown [99-J.Ledbetter] at JAX -5. Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +17pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 12:24·MIN 3, JAX 7

   (12:24) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 6-D.Savage at JAX 0. 6-D.Savage ran ob at JAX 29 for 29 yards (74-C.Robinson). Penalty on JAX-93-T.Lacy, Illegal Blindside Block, offsetting, enforced at JAX 16. Penalty on MIN-74-C.Robinson, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting.

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 1:27·MIN 3, JAX 7

   (1:27) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 23-F.Oluokun (3-T.Campbell) at JAX 22. 23-F.Oluokun to JAX 22 for no gain (84-J.Oliver).

   +14pp

   JAX