Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:18·JAX 16, MIN 26

   (2:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at MIN 25 for -6 yards (95-K.Udeze). FUMBLES (95-K.Udeze), RECOVERED by MIN-93-K.Williams at MIN 23. 93-K.Williams for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN-29-B.Williams, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 01:59.)

   +45pp

   MIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:49·JAX 16, MIN 20

   (3:49) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to MIN 23 for 29 yards (21-C.Chavous).

   +27pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 7:54·JAX 16, MIN 20

   (7:54) 11-D.Culpepper sacked at JAX 22 for -4 yards (93-B.McCray). FUMBLES (93-B.McCray), RECOVERED by JAX-99-M.Stroud at JAX 22. 99-M.Stroud to JAX 22 for no gain (11-D.Culpepper).

   +16pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:40·JAX 0, MIN 0

   (10:40) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 16-T.Edwards to MIN 19 for 8 yards (29-B.Williams). FUMBLES (29-B.Williams), RECOVERED by MIN-54-D.Thomas at MIN 18. 54-D.Thomas to MIN 20 for 2 yards (65-C.Naeole).

   +12pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q2 · 13:35·JAX 7, MIN 3

   (13:35) 11-D.Culpepper pass intended for 81-N.Burleson INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Darius at MIN 36. 20-D.Darius pushed ob at MIN 20 for 16 yards (60-C.Withrow).

   +12pp

   JAX