Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:24·MIN 18, JAX 16

   (6:24) 44-M.Asiata up the middle to JAX 1 for no gain (37-J.Cyprien). FUMBLES (37-J.Cyprien), RECOVERED by JAX-90-M.Jackson at JAX -1. Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the touchback ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +29pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 9:26·MIN 18, JAX 16

   (9:26) 18-J.Locke punts 38 yards to JAX 8, Center-47-K.McDermott, downed by MIN-57-A.Cole. PENALTY on JAX-48-A.Ellis, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 46 - No Play.

   +13pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q3 · 3:54·MIN 12, JAX 15

   (3:54) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 81-B.Walters for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:08·MIN 9, JAX 9

   (10:08) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short middle to 19-A.Thielen to JAX 32 for 11 yards (39-T.Gipson).

   +12pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·MIN 9, JAX 6

   (2:00) 44-M.Asiata left end to JAX 1 for no gain (99-S.Marks).

   +11pp

   JAX