Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 7:30·TB 24, KC 24

   (7:30) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins pushed ob at TB 28 for 15 yards (31-A.Winfield).

   +17pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 14:21·TB 17, KC 16

   (14:21) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 34-S.Perine for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. KC-15-P.Mahomes was injured during the play.

   +17pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:17·TB 7, KC 3

   (6:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 8-D.Hopkins to TB 3 for 35 yards (32-J.Hayes) [94-C.Kancey].

   +15pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:03·TB 7, KC 10

   (1:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to TB 46 for 6 yards (23-T.Smith). FUMBLES (23-T.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-32-J.Hayes at TB 45.

   +12pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q4 · 4:20·TB 17, KC 23

   (4:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   KAN