Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 6:59·KC 9, TB 0

   (6:59) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 10-T.Hill for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:42·KC 16, TB 0

   (1:42) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 10-T.Hill for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:14·KC 27, TB 23

   (4:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-21-B.Breeland, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +8pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q4 · 12:50·KC 27, TB 16

   (12:50) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:46·KC 0, TB 0

   (13:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 10-T.Hill to TB 7 for 23 yards (24-C.Davis).

   +7pp

   KAN