Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 12:20·TB 12, KC 10

   (12:20) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Conte (93-G.McCoy) at TB -5. 23-C.Conte pushed ob at TB 48 for 53 yards (80-J.O'Shaughnessy).

   +36pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:03·TB 19, KC 17

   (:03) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 12-A.Wilson to KC 38 for 4 yards. Lateral to 10-T.Hill to KC 32 for -6 yards. Lateral to 72-E.Fisher to KC 32 for no gain (54-L.David). FUMBLES (54-L.David), RECOVERED by TB-93-G.McCoy at KC 27.

   +23pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q1 · 1:25·TB 0, KC 3

   (1:25) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at KC 21 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by KC-20-S.Nelson at KC 21. 20-S.Nelson to KC 21 for no gain (3-J.Winston). KC team sack. No individual forced the fumble.

   +17pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:29·TB 12, KC 10

   (13:29) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at TB 10 for 44 yards (23-C.Conte).

   +13pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:25·TB 6, KC 10

   (:25) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 11-A.Humphries to KC 29 for 18 yards (20-S.Nelson).

   +13pp

   TAM