Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:05·BAL 20, KC 27

   (:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 80-I.Likely for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to 80-I.Likely (32-N.Bolton). ** Injury Update: BAL-80-I.Likely has returned to the game.

   +16pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 15:00·BAL 16, KC 20

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 80-I.Likely for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:53·BAL 7, KC 7

   (14:53) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 13 for -7 yards (95-C.Jones). FUMBLES (95-C.Jones), RECOVERED by KC-97-F.Anudike-Uzomah at BAL 14.

   +13pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q1 · 11:49·BAL 0, KC 0

   (11:49) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 4-Z.Flowers to KC 33 for 19 yards (22-T.McDuffie).

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:50·BAL 7, KC 13

   (1:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 4-R.Rice INTERCEPTED by 0-R.Smith at BAL 49. 0-R.Smith to BAL 49 for no gain (4-R.Rice).

   +9pp

   BAL