Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:26·KC 35, BAL 36

   (1:26) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire left guard to BAL 34 for -2 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh), RECOVERED by BAL-99-O.Oweh at BAL 34.

   +51pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:19·KC 6, BAL 0

   (14:19) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 14-S.Watkins INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at BAL 34. 32-T.Mathieu for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q3 · 9:39·KC 28, BAL 23

   (9:39) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q3 · 7:07·KC 34, BAL 24

   (7:07) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:14·KC 35, BAL 36

   (3:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 13-B.Pringle to KC 48 for 23 yards (36-C.Clark).

   +11pp

   KAN