Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:10·TB 37, HOU 39

   (:10) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short middle to 3-N.Dell for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TB-54-L.David, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +49pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:49·TB 36, HOU 33

   (:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 88-C.Otton for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:16·TB 37, HOU 33

   (:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass deep left to 3-N.Dell ran ob at TB 15 for 26 yards [50-V.Vea].

   +20pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:13·TB 30, HOU 33

   (1:13) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield scrambles left end to HOU 36 for 5 yards (4-T.Thomas, 94-K.Davis).

   +17pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:06·TB 37, HOU 39

   (:06) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 10-T.Palmer to TB 40 for 15 yards. Lateral to 70-R.Hainsey to TB 37 for -3 yards. Lateral to 88-C.Otton to TB 41 for 4 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o). FUMBLES (39-H.To'oTo'o), touched at TB 40, RECOVERED by HOU-30-D.Houston-Carson at TB 41. 30-D.Houston-Carson to TB 41 for no gain (78-T.Wirfs).

   +17pp

   HOU