Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:30·JAX 6, PIT 0

   (:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 17-E.Engram to PIT 19 for -1 yards (54-K.Alexander). FUMBLES (54-K.Alexander), touched at PIT 27, RECOVERED by PIT-55-C.Holcomb at PIT 29. 55-C.Holcomb to PIT 29 for no gain (77-A.Harrison).

   +16pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:24·JAX 6, PIT 0

   (10:24) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 0-C.Ridley INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Kazee at PIT -5. 23-D.Kazee ran ob at PIT 2 for 7 yards (89-L.Farrell).

   +14pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:27·JAX 9, PIT 3

   (10:27) 4-T.Bigsby right guard to PIT 35 for no gain (51-Ni.Herbig, 24-J.Porter). FUMBLES (51-Ni.Herbig), RECOVERED by PIT-31-K.Neal at PIT 36. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +14pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:06·JAX 3, PIT 0

   (8:06) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 0-C.Ridley to PIT 39 for 26 yards (24-J.Porter).

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 5:14·JAX 15, PIT 3

   (5:14) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 1-T.Etienne for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   JAX