Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 6:44·JAX 13, PIT 9

   (6:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 50-T.Smith (95-A.Jones) at PIT 28. 50-T.Smith for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +31pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q3 · 4:11·JAX 19, PIT 9

   (4:11) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 42-B.Church (20-J.Ramsey) at JAX 49. 42-B.Church for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 1:33·JAX 0, PIT 3

   (1:33) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle intended for 89-V.McDonald INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Ramsey [51-P.Posluszny] at JAX 38. 20-J.Ramsey ran ob at PIT 47 for 15 yards. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +14pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:45·JAX 7, PIT 3

   (:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 80-J.O'Shaughnessy INTERCEPTED by 50-R.Shazier at PIT 39. 50-R.Shazier to JAX 38 for 23 yards (80-J.O'Shaughnessy). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 80-J.O'Shaughnessy INTERCEPTED by 50-R.Shazier at PIT 39. 50-R.Shazier to PIT 39 for no gain (80-J.O'Shaughnessy).

   +12pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:05·JAX 0, PIT 3

   (9:05) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 11-M.Lee to PIT 41 for 31 yards (50-R.Shazier; 27-J.Wilcox) [28-S.Davis].

   +12pp

   JAX