Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:02·JAX 13, PIT 17

   (:02) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass incomplete deep middle to 87-J.Dillard.

   +15pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:10·JAX 13, PIT 17

   (1:10) (Punt formation) 9-D.Sepulveda punts 44 yards to JAX 23, Center-60-G.Warren, fair catch by 84-C.Shorts.

   +13pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:01·JAX 13, PIT 17

   (1:01) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert sacked at JAX 13 for -10 yards (99-B.Keisel).

   +10pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:07·JAX 10, PIT 17

   (5:07) 35-D.Karim right tackle to PIT 27 for -2 yards (56-L.Woodley).

   +10pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:47·JAX 0, PIT 0

   (5:47) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 88-E.Sanders to JAX 13 for 32 yards (27-R.Mathis; 30-D.Coleman).

   +9pp

   PIT