Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·HOU 13, CAR 15

   (:03) 4-E.Pineiro 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.

   +17pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:03·HOU 13, CAR 12

   (:03) (Field Goal formation) PENALTY on HOU-4-T.Thomas, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 20 - No Play. Penalty on HOU-4-T.Thomas, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +16pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:04·HOU 7, CAR 9

   (10:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass short left to 47-A.Beck to HOU 30 for 8 yards (26-D.Jackson). FUMBLES (26-D.Jackson), RECOVERED by CAR-25-X.Woods at HOU 32. 25-X.Woods to HOU 27 for 5 yards (26-D.Singletary).

   +14pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q3 · 12:57·HOU 7, CAR 6

   (12:57) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep left to 15-J.Mingo to HOU 30 for 40 yards (1-J.Ward).

   +12pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:22·HOU 13, CAR 12

   (3:22) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 19-A.Thielen to HOU 44 for 3 yards (39-H.To'oTo'o).

   +12pp

   CAR