Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 11:28·HOU 30, CAR 14

   3-K.Brown kicks 75 yards from HOU 30 to CAR -5. 37-N.Goings to CAR 16 for 21 yards (38-D.Faggins). FUMBLES (38-D.Faggins), touched at CAR 7, RECOVERED by HOU-83-K.Walter at CAR 0. TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by CAR and Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 11:16.)

   +14pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:02·HOU 14, CAR 14

   (3:02) 8-M.Schaub pass incomplete short right [90-J.Peppers]. PENALTY on HOU-8-M.Schaub, Intentional Grounding, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 2.

   +10pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:44·HOU 0, CAR 0

   (9:44) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short right to 89-S.Smith to HOU 32 for 28 yards (34-V.Hutchins).

   +9pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:32·HOU 7, CAR 14

   (10:32) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 81-O.Daniels to CAR 26 for 10 yards (55-D.Morgan).

   +8pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·HOU 17, CAR 14

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass deep left to 18-D.Carter to CAR 42 for 16 yards (23-D.Robinson).

   +8pp

   CAR