Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:55·HOU 3, CAR 10

   (2:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle intended for 81-K.Norwood INTERCEPTED by 26-R.Moore at HOU 0. 26-R.Moore to HOU 17 for 17 yards (81-K.Norwood). FUMBLES (81-K.Norwood), recovered by HOU-57-J.Tuggle at HOU 22. 57-J.Tuggle to HOU 22 for no gain (70-T.Turner).

   +12pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:48·HOU 0, CAR 0

   (14:48) 8-B.Nortman punts 60 yards to HOU 20, Center-44-J.Jansen. 12-K.Mumphery to HOU 28 for 8 yards (53-B.Jacobs; 44-J.Jansen).

   +12pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:53·HOU 0, CAR 0

   (8:53) (Shotgun) 15-R.Mallett pass short middle to 41-J.Grimes to CAR 29 for 14 yards (54-S.Thompson).

   +11pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:13·HOU 17, CAR 24

   (:13) (Shotgun) 15-R.Mallett pass incomplete deep middle to 10-D.Hopkins.

   +9pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:35·HOU 9, CAR 10

   (8:35) (Shotgun) 15-R.Mallett pass short middle to 88-G.Graham for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   HOU