Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 10:37·CAR 0, BAL 3

   (10:37) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 88-T.Marshall to BAL 29 for 24 yards (24-M.Peters) [14-K.Hamilton].

   +15pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 9:26·CAR 0, BAL 0

   (9:26) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 93-B.Roy at CAR 32. 93-B.Roy to CAR 35 for 3 yards (79-R.Stanley).

   +15pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:22·CAR 3, BAL 6

   (8:22) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 12-S.Smith to CAR 29 for 4 yards (24-M.Peters). FUMBLES (24-M.Peters), RECOVERED by BAL-44-M.Humphrey at CAR 31.

   +14pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 11:05·CAR 0, BAL 0

   (11:05) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 10-D.Robinson pushed ob at CAR 41 for 13 yards (24-C.Henderson).

   +9pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 5:42·CAR 3, BAL 3

   (5:42) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews to CAR 25 for 14 yards (21-J.Chinn). CAR-97-Y.Gross-Matos was injured during the play.

   +8pp

   BAL