Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:35·BAL 6, CAR 0

   (12:35) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 84-T.Houshmandzadeh for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 14:56·BAL 20, CAR 12

   (14:56) 6-B.St. Pierre pass deep left to 12-D.Gettis for 88 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:26·BAL 10, CAR 3

   (7:26) 5-J.Flacco FUMBLES (Aborted) at CAR 15, RECOVERED by CAR-96-T.Brayton at CAR 14. 96-T.Brayton to CAR 15 for 1 yard (77-M.Birk).

   +10pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:47·BAL 0, CAR 0

   (13:47) 33-M.Goodson FUMBLES (Aborted) at CAR 14, and recovers at CAR 14. 33-M.Goodson to CAR 14 for no gain (55-T.Suggs). Direct Snap to Car 33 - Goodson, Mike

   +8pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:08·BAL 17, CAR 3

   (1:08) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 81-A.Boldin to BAL 49 for 7 yards (52-J.Beason). FUMBLES (52-J.Beason), RECOVERED by CAR-31-R.Marshall at BAL 49. 31-R.Marshall to BAL 49 for no gain (81-A.Boldin).

   +8pp

   CAR