Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 15:00·BAL 7, CAR 7

   (15:00) 34-A.Collins up the middle to BAL 25 for -6 yards (93-K.Love). FUMBLES (93-K.Love), touched at BAL 20, RECOVERED by CAR-92-V.Butler at BAL 12. 92-V.Butler to BAL 12 for no gain (73-M.Yanda).

   +13pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:23·BAL 0, CAR 0

   (10:23) (Shotgun) 34-A.Collins right tackle to CAR 49 for 5 yards (92-V.Butler; 58-T.Davis). PENALTY on CAR-95-D.Poe, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 49.

   +10pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 3:02·BAL 7, CAR 0

   (3:02) (Punt formation) 41-A.Levine Sr. up the middle to BAL 17 for 7 yards (55-D.Mayo). PENALTY on BAL, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at BAL 10 - No Play.

   +9pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:42·BAL 7, CAR 6

   (:42) 22-C.McCaffrey left end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 13:30·BAL 7, CAR 13

   (13:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 88-G.Olsen for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   CAR