Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·KC 3, BUF 10

   End of half - 2.22 pm

   +57pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:42·KC 3, BUF 10

   (:42) 25-J.Charles right tackle to KC 16 for 4 yards (56-K.Rivers).

   +56pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 9:57·KC 10, BUF 13

   (9:57) 2-D.Colquitt punts 53 yards to BUF 31, Center-43-T.Gafford. 21-L.McKelvin to BUF 30 for -1 yards (42-A.Sherman). FUMBLES (42-A.Sherman), RECOVERED by KC-42-A.Sherman at BUF 26. KC-88-J.Hemingway was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +26pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:31·KC 17, BUF 13

   (2:31) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass incomplete short right to 14-S.Watkins (38-R.Parker). Receiver at goal line underthrown, nearly intercepted at KC 2.

   +19pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:39·KC 9, BUF 13

   (13:39) 25-J.Charles left end for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   KAN