Down Judge
Max Causey
Scoring
How high or low his games runHis games go Under the total notably more than league average.
⚠ Only 16 priced games. Interpret cautiously.
% Games Over the Total
40%
-8.7ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Avg Total Points
40.9
-4.7league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesHome teams cover well above the league rate: measurable home tilt.
⚠ Only 16 spread-priced games.
Favorites Cover %
50%
+1.1ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
56%
+7.5ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameLets-em-play crew: penalty rate runs well below league average.
⚠ Only 16 games with box stats.
Penalties / Game
10.8
-1.8league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
122.4
+0.8league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
90
-16league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Home team gets flagged 0.8 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 8, 2023BAL@CIN16–27Spread CIN -11.5Total 39Penalties 8 (57 yd)43dogover8 (57 yd)
- Jan 1, 2023NYJ@SEA6–23Spread NYJ -1Total 43Penalties 7 (35 yd)29dogunder7 (35 yd)
- Dec 24, 2022WAS@SFO20–37Spread SFO -6Total 37Penalties 10 (76 yd)57favover10 (76 yd)
- Dec 18, 2022NWE@LVR24–30Spread LVR -2.5Total 45Penalties 19 (120 yd)54favover19 (120 yd)
- Dec 11, 2022MIN@DET23–34Spread DET -2.5Total 51Penalties 10 (76 yd)57favover10 (76 yd)
- Dec 4, 2022PIT@ATL19–16Spread PIT -1Total 43Penalties 13 (78 yd)35favunder13 (78 yd)
- Nov 27, 2022LAC@ARI25–24Spread LAC -2.5Total 49Penalties 7 (49 yd)49dogpush7 (49 yd)
- Nov 20, 2022LAR@NOR20–27Spread NOR -2.5Total 39.5Penalties 8 (70 yd)47favover8 (70 yd)
- Nov 6, 2022MIA@CHI35–32Spread MIA -4Total 46Penalties 7 (130 yd)67dogover7 (130 yd)
- Oct 30, 2022GNB@BUF17–27Spread BUF -10.5Total 47Penalties 12 (93 yd)44dogunder12 (93 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.