Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:28·TB 20, CAR 14

   (1:28) Direct snap to 22-C.McCaffrey. 22-C.McCaffrey left end pushed ob at TB 2 for no gain (28-V.Hargreaves). The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +33pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:50·TB 20, CAR 14

   (1:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 10-C.Samuel to TB 22 for 9 yards (33-C.Davis). PENALTY on TB-33-C.Davis, Face Mask (15 Yards), 11 yards, enforced at TB 22. Penalty on TB-33-C.Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. Administrative review for enforcement.

   +16pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q3 · 3:04·TB 17, CAR 12

   (3:04) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to CAR 44 for no gain (98-A.Nelson; 54-L.David). FUMBLES (98-A.Nelson), RECOVERED by TB-93-N.Suh at CAR 45. 93-N.Suh to CAR 45 for no gain (72-T.Moton).

   +14pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:40·TB 0, CAR 0

   (8:40) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right end to TB 47 for no gain (31-J.Whitehead). Carolina challenged the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1 at 08:31.)

   +13pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:03·TB 10, CAR 9

   (:03) 4-J.Slye 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.

   +12pp

   CAR