Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:21·TB 26, NYJ 24

   (:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Grayson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +54pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:28·TB 10, NYJ 14

   (:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Echols at NYJ 18. 26-B.Echols to NYJ 48 for 30 yards (13-M.Evans).

   +15pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:03·TB 28, NYJ 24

   (:03) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short left to 10-B.Berrios to NYJ 40 for 10 yards (43-R.Cockrell). FUMBLES (43-R.Cockrell), RECOVERED by TB-98-A.Nelson at 50.

   +14pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:59·TB 20, NYJ 24

   (:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 18-T.Johnson to NYJ 43 for 27 yards (57-C.Mosley).

   +13pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:24·TB 0, NYJ 0

   (14:24) 69-C.McDermott reported in as eligible. 32-Mi.Carter right tackle to TB 12 for 55 yards (31-A.Winfield).

   +12pp

   NYJ