Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:51·TB 14, NYJ 15

   (1:51) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 83-V.Jackson to NYJ 26 for 37 yards (56-D.Davis).

   +28pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:15·TB 17, NYJ 18

   (:15) 2-N.Folk 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.

   +26pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:02·TB 17, NYJ 18

   2-N.Folk kicks 37 yards from NYJ 35 to TB 28. 22-D.Martin to NYJ 32 for 40 yards (37-J.Jarrett). FUMBLES (37-J.Jarrett), RECOVERED by NYJ-55-R.Sapp at NYJ 30. 55-R.Sapp to NYJ 30 for no gain (52-J.Casillas). There were multiple laterals on the play. By rule, return credited to Martin.

   +24pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:15·TB 17, NYJ 15

   (:15) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith scrambles right end ran ob at TB 45 for 10 yards. PENALTY on TB-54-L.David, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TB 45.

   +22pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:03·TB 7, NYJ 5

   (7:03) 7-G.Smith sacked at NYJ 5 for -6 yards (59-M.Foster). FUMBLES (59-M.Foster) [59-M.Foster], RECOVERED by TB-97-A.Spence at NYJ 5. 97-A.Spence to NYJ 5 for no gain (60-D.Ferguson).

   +19pp

   TAM