Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:16·NYJ 0, TB 3

   (2:16) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass deep middle to 11-R.Anderson to TB 25 for 20 yards (29-R.Smith).

   +13pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q3 · 13:16·NYJ 3, TB 3

   (13:16) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle to 11-D.Jackson to NYJ 28 for 19 yards (27-D.Roberts).

   +12pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:03·NYJ 3, TB 3

   (:03) (Field Goal formation) 7-C.Catanzaro 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.

   +11pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 3:31·NYJ 3, TB 6

   (3:31) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short middle to 29-B.Powell to 50 for 6 yards (58-K.Alexander). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short middle to 29-B.Powell to 50 for 6 yards (58-K.Alexander). FUMBLES (58-K.Alexander), RECOVERED by TB-54-L.David at TB 49.

   +11pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:26·NYJ 0, TB 3

   (2:26) 15-J.McCown sacked at TB 45 for -8 yards (94-W.Clarke).

   +10pp

   TAM