Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:02·KC 13, LAC 14

   (11:02) 27-J.Kelley up the middle to KC 1 for no gain (56-B.Niemann, 98-T.Wharton). FUMBLES (98-T.Wharton), RECOVERED by KC-56-B.Niemann at KC 2.

   +23pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q5 · 9:56·KC 28, LAC 28

   (9:56) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce to LAC 48 for 27 yards (49-D.Tranquill).

   +20pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 9:39·KC 13, LAC 14

   (9:39) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right intended for 25-C.Edwards-Helaire INTERCEPTED by 42-U.Nwosu at KC 4. 42-U.Nwosu to KC 2 for 2 yards (15-P.Mahomes).

   +20pp

   LAC
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:55·KC 13, LAC 21

   (8:55) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 87-T.Kelce to LAC 1 for 69 yards (36-T.Marshall; 24-N.Adderley). Penalty on LAC-36-T.Marshall, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +19pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:24·KC 13, LAC 14

   (6:24) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill to LAC 22 for 40 yards (20-T.Campbell). Penalty on LAC-20-T.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +18pp

   KAN