Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:58·LAC 0, KC 0

   (2:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 10-T.Hill to LAC 14 for 8 yards (20-T.Campbell). FUMBLES (20-T.Campbell), RECOVERED by LAC-43-M.Davis at LAC 14. 43-M.Davis to LAC 34 for 20 yards (65-T.Smith). PENALTY on KC-25-C.Edwards-Helaire, Low Block, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 34.

   +19pp

   LAC
2. 2
   Q2 · 11:06·LAC 6, KC 0

   (11:06) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire up the middle to LAC 29 for 7 yards (24-N.Adderley, 20-T.Campbell). FUMBLES (20-T.Campbell), RECOVERED by LAC-43-M.Davis at LAC 33. 43-M.Davis to LAC 47 for 14 yards (17-M.Hardman).

   +19pp

   LAC
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:48·LAC 24, KC 24

   (:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass incomplete short right to 15-J.Guyton. PENALTY on KC-30-D.Baker, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, enforced at KC 35 - No Play.

   +15pp

   LAC
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:55·LAC 24, KC 24

   (1:55) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 32-A.Gilman at LAC 41. 32-A.Gilman to LAC 41 for no gain.

   +14pp

   LAC
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:44·LAC 20, KC 17

   (13:44) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 81-M.Williams for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-C.Jones].

   +14pp

   LAC