Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:12·NE 20, CAR 6

   (7:12) 14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 80-I.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Jackson at NE 12. 27-J.Jackson for 88 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:28·NE 0, CAR 3

   (10:28) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 38-R.Stevenson to CAR 24 for 41 yards (4-J.Carter; 21-J.Chinn).

   +14pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:31·NE 7, CAR 3

   (6:31) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right intended for 16-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 9-S.Gilmore at NE 47. 9-S.Gilmore to NE 34 for 13 yards (10-M.Jones).

   +14pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:39·NE 0, CAR 0

   (:39) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked at NE 44 for -9 yards (53-B.Burns). FUMBLES (53-B.Burns) [53-B.Burns], RECOVERED by CAR-49-F.Luvu at NE 40. 49-F.Luvu to NE 33 for 7 yards (76-I.Wynn). CAR-53-B.Burns was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +14pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:29·NE 13, CAR 6

   (:29) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 85-H.Henry for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NWE