Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:03·NE 20, CAR 24

   (:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle intended for 87-R.Gronkowski INTERCEPTED by 38-R.Lester at CAR -4. Touchback.

   +40pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:09·NE 20, CAR 23

   (1:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 19-T.Ginn for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +27pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:47·NE 20, CAR 24

   (:47) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski to NE 43 for 23 yards (38-R.Lester).

   +17pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:10·NE 20, CAR 24

   (:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 34-S.Vereen to CAR 25 for 11 yards (59-L.Kuechly) [92-D.Edwards].

   +16pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:01·NE 10, CAR 17

   (13:01) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 85-K.Thompkins to CAR 1 for 37 yards (56-A.Klein).

   +15pp

   NWE