Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:04·CAR 33, NE 30

   (:04) 9-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.

   +30pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:14·CAR 30, NE 29

   (3:14) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-D.Amendola for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:29·CAR 17, NE 16

   (12:29) 28-J.Stewart right guard to NE 9 for 4 yards (98-T.Flowers). FUMBLES (98-T.Flowers), RECOVERED by NE-52-E.Roberts at NE 7. 52-E.Roberts to NE 7 for no gain (28-J.Stewart).

   +19pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:14·CAR 10, NE 13

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 13-K.Benjamin to NE 14 for 43 yards (30-D.Harmon).

   +16pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:23·CAR 30, NE 30

   (2:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 16 for -11 yards (91-D.Wise). PENALTY on NE-24-S.Gilmore, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 27 - No Play.

   +12pp

   CAR