Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:12·NE 0, CAR 0

   (4:12) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown pushed ob at CAR 1 for 71 yards (23-K.Lucas).CAR-23-K.Lucas was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +20pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 6:19·NE 16, CAR 20

   (6:19) 17-J.Delhomme pass INTERCEPTED by 50-M.Vrabel at CAR 24. 50-M.Vrabel for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:20·NE 17, CAR 20

   (1:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 22 for -11 yards (93-M.Rucker). FUMBLES (93-M.Rucker), RECOVERED by CAR-90-J.Peppers at NE 22. 90-J.Peppers to NE 12 for 10 yards (72-M.Light).

   +12pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:12·NE 7, CAR 0

   (2:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 81-R.Proehl to NE 1 for 41 yards (37-R.Harrison).

   +9pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 9:11·NE 7, CAR 7

   (9:11) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass intended for 80-T.Brown INTERCEPTED by 54-W.Witherspoon at CAR 28. 54-W.Witherspoon to CAR 28 for no gain (80-T.Brown).

   +9pp

   CAR