Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:09·DEN 0, PIT 6

   (12:09) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 18-D.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:08·DEN 0, PIT 7

   (4:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at PIT 41 for -8 yards (59-M.Reed). FUMBLES (59-M.Reed) [59-M.Reed], touched at PIT 40, RECOVERED by DEN-45-A.Johnson at PIT 39. 45-A.Johnson to PIT 29 for 10 yards (53-K.Green).

   +13pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 8:42·DEN 3, PIT 10

   (8:42) 33-J.Williams left tackle to PIT 2 for 49 yards (42-J.Pierre).

   +12pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:10·DEN 6, PIT 10

   (5:10) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 11-C.Claypool pushed ob at DEN 13 for 59 yards (31-J.Simmons, 58-V.Miller).

   +11pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:54·DEN 19, PIT 24

   (5:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   DEN