Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 11:30·PIT 7, DEN 9

   (11:30) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at DEN 46 for -13 yards (90-K.Peterson). FUMBLES (90-K.Peterson) [90-K.Peterson], RECOVERED by DEN-56-R.Ayers at DEN 46. 56-R.Ayers for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +36pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:01·PIT 6, DEN 3

   (13:01) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short middle intended for 27-K.Moreno INTERCEPTED by 23-T.Carter at DEN 48. 23-T.Carter for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q3 · 2:38·PIT 14, DEN 10

   (2:38) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right intended for 86-H.Ward INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Goodman at DEN -1. 21-A.Goodman to DEN 20 for 21 yards (34-R.Mendenhall). PENALTY on DEN-91-R.Fields, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 20.

   +14pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:12·PIT 20, DEN 10

   (7:12) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 17-M.Wallace for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 8:39·PIT 14, DEN 10

   (8:39) 8-K.Orton pass short middle intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 43-T.Polamalu at DEN 23. 43-T.Polamalu to DEN 25 for -2 yards (15-B.Marshall).

   +12pp

   PIT