Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 11:01·HOU 0, TEN 0

   (11:01) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left intended for 86-A.Firkser INTERCEPTED by 59-W.Mercilus (20-J.Reid) at HOU 2. 59-W.Mercilus pushed ob at TEN 12 for 86 yards (81-J.Smith).

   +30pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:41·HOU 20, TEN 14

   (10:41) (Shotgun) 23-C.Hyde left end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:46·HOU 14, TEN 13

   (13:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 11-A.Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 15:00·HOU 14, TEN 7

   (15:00) 81-J.Smith right end pushed ob at HOU 16 for 57 yards (20-J.Reid). HOU-20-J.Reid was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +14pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:35·HOU 0, TEN 0

   (9:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep left intended for 25-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 24-K.Vaccaro at TEN -1. 24-K.Vaccaro ran ob at TEN 1 for 2 yards.

   +13pp

   TEN