Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:41·PIT 28, NO 31

   (:41) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 19-J.Smith-Schuster to NO 34 for 8 yards (98-S.Rankins). FUMBLES (98-S.Rankins), RECOVERED by NO-56-D.Davis at NO 35. 56-D.Davis to NO 35 for no gain (73-R.Foster). PENALTY on NO-94-C.Jordan, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NO 35.

   +36pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:41·PIT 28, NO 24

   (1:41) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 19-T.Ginn to PIT 7 for 25 yards (21-S.Davis). Pass 20, YAC 5

   +31pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:00·PIT 28, NO 24

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Thomas (23-J.Haden). PENALTY on PIT-23-J.Haden, Defensive Pass Interference, 4 yards, enforced at PIT 26 - No Play.

   +18pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:09·PIT 28, NO 31

   (1:09) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown pushed ob at PIT 39 for 19 yards (23-M.Lattimore). Pass 19, YAC 0 The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +16pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:21·PIT 28, NO 24

   (10:21) 76-C.Okorafor reported in as eligible. 22-S.Ridley right guard to NO 35 for -1 yards (29-K.Coleman, 94-C.Jordan). FUMBLES (29-K.Coleman), RECOVERED by NO-57-A.Okafor at NO 35. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +16pp

   NOR