Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:08·PIT 10, NO 13

   (8:08) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees sacked at PIT 27 for -7 yards (20-B.McFadden). FUMBLES (20-B.McFadden) [20-B.McFadden], RECOVERED by PIT-56-L.Woodley at PIT 27. 56-L.Woodley to PIT 27 for no gain (74-J.Bushrod).

   +19pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:37·PIT 10, NO 13

   (6:37) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 83-H.Miller to NO 34 for 25 yards (50-M.Mitchell). FUMBLES (50-M.Mitchell), RECOVERED by NO-42-D.Sharper at NO 34. 42-D.Sharper to NO 45 for 11 yards (86-H.Ward). Pass distance was 6 yards, and 19 YAC before the fumble.

   +15pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:14·PIT 3, NO 6

   (4:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete short right to 88-E.Sanders (27-M.Jenkins).

   +12pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 9:58·PIT 10, NO 13

   (9:58) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 17-R.Meachem pushed ob at PIT 26 for 50 yards (43-T.Polamalu). Pass 30, YAC 20

   +11pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:16·PIT 0, NO 0

   (4:16) 9-D.Brees pass incomplete short right to 21-J.Jones (51-J.Farrior). PENALTY on NO-21-J.Jones, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at PIT 31.

   +9pp

   PIT