Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 9:53·HOU 19, NYJ 15

   (9:53) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 89-C.Herndon to HOU 34 for 25 yards (51-D.Cole). HOU-51-D.Cole was injured during the play.

   +15pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:20·HOU 25, NYJ 22

   (2:20) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 10-D.Hopkins for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q3 · 8:44·HOU 16, NYJ 15

   (8:44) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 19-A.Roberts for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:18·HOU 16, NYJ 15

   (13:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at NYJ 31 for -14 yards (33-J.Adams).

   +14pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 9:01·HOU 6, NYJ 3

   (9:01) (Shotgun) 25-E.McGuire up the middle to NYJ 42 for -3 yards (99-J.Watt). FUMBLES (99-J.Watt), RECOVERED by HOU-97-A.Blackson at NYJ 46. 97-A.Blackson to NYJ 46 for no gain (67-B.Winters).

   +14pp

   HOU