Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 11:30·NYJ 9, HOU 10

   (11:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 15-B.Marshall for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:13·NYJ 3, HOU 9

   (3:13) 6-T.Yates pass deep middle to 10-D.Hopkins for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:29·NYJ 0, HOU 3

   (10:29) (Shotgun) 6-T.Yates sacked at HOU 47 for -9 yards (20-M.Williams). FUMBLES (20-M.Williams) [20-M.Williams], RECOVERED by NYJ-20-M.Williams at HOU 47. 20-M.Williams to HOU 47 for no gain (72-D.Newton).

   +12pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q3 · 12:22·NYJ 3, HOU 10

   (12:22) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass incomplete deep left to 87-E.Decker. PENALTY on HOU-27-Q.Demps, Defensive Pass Interference, 44 yards, enforced at NYJ 36 - No Play.

   +10pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:42·NYJ 10, HOU 10

   (10:42) (Shotgun) 6-T.Yates pass short right to 18-C.Shorts III to HOU 33 for 16 yards (41-B.Skrine).

   +9pp

   HOU