Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:44·IND 24, HOU 20

   (2:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 7:41·IND 17, HOU 13

   (7:41) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 26-L.Miller. 26-L.Miller left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:06·IND 0, HOU 0

   (6:06) 4-D.Watson pass deep right to 88-J.Akins pushed ob at IND 42 for 27 yards (49-M.Adams). PENALTY on IND-49-M.Adams, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 42.

   +11pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 7:19·IND 0, HOU 7

   (7:19) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 13-T.Hilton to HOU 4 for 60 yards (20-J.Reid).

   +10pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:31·IND 17, HOU 14

   (4:31) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left to 13-T.Hilton ran ob at HOU 12 for 34 yards (32-T.Mathieu).

   +10pp

   IND