Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:36·HOU 16, IND 10

   (2:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck sacked at HOU 10 for -7 yards (90-J.Clowney). FUMBLES (90-J.Clowney) [90-J.Clowney], RECOVERED by HOU-59-W.Mercilus at HOU 14. 59-W.Mercilus to HOU 14 for no gain (76-J.Reitz). Credit Clowney with a sack for minus-11 yards.

   +20pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:11·HOU 0, IND 3

   (6:11) (Run formation) 12-A.Luck pass short left intended for 83-D.Allen INTERCEPTED by 27-Q.Demps at IND 31. 27-Q.Demps to IND 16 for 15 yards (23-F.Gore).

   +19pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:24·HOU 22, IND 17

   (1:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short right to 33-R.Turbin [75-V.Wilfork].

   +18pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 9:14·HOU 19, IND 16

   (9:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 13-T.Hilton for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on HOU-32-R.Nelson, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +17pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 8:29·HOU 19, IND 17

   (8:29) (Run formation) 26-L.Miller right tackle to HOU 49 for 20 yards (20-D.Butler).

   +14pp

   HOU