Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:42·NYJ 22, TEN 25

   (:42) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 84-C.Davis for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +25pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:29·NYJ 22, TEN 26

   (:29) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass deep right intended for 89-C.Herndon INTERCEPTED by 21-M.Butler at TEN 21. 21-M.Butler to TEN 21 for no gain (89-C.Herndon). PENALTY on TEN-55-J.Brown, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10 yards, enforced at TEN 21.

   +19pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 7:22·NYJ 22, TEN 16

   (7:22) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 13-T.Taylor pushed ob at NYJ 10 for 55 yards (27-D.Roberts).

   +18pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:27·NYJ 22, TEN 19

   (1:27) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota scrambles up the middle to TEN 44 for 25 yards (33-J.Adams). FUMBLES (33-J.Adams), and recovers at TEN 46. 8-M.Mariota to TEN 46 for no gain (33-J.Adams). PENALTY on NYJ-22-T.Johnson, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at TEN 46.

   +18pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:09·NYJ 9, TEN 0

   (8:09) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right intended for 17-C.Batson INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Johnson [96-H.Anderson] at TEN 31. 22-T.Johnson for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   NYJ