Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:19·NYJ 16, TEN 11

   (2:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-C.Whitehurst pass deep middle to 82-D.Walker to NYJ 22 for 33 yards (26-D.Landry).

   +18pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:40·NYJ 16, TEN 11

   (1:40) (Shotgun) 12-C.Whitehurst pass incomplete deep right to 29-L.Washington.

   +17pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q3 · 5:57·NYJ 3, TEN 8

   (5:57) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 87-E.Decker for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 87-E.Decker ran ob at TEN 33 for 48 yards. PENALTY on TEN-99-J.Casey, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 33.

   +15pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:00·NYJ 16, TEN 11

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 12-C.Whitehurst sacked at NYJ 29 for -7 yards (98-Q.Coples).

   +15pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:13·NYJ 0, TEN 0

   (7:13) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass deep right to 85-N.Washington to NYJ 22 for 26 yards (24-P.Adams).

   +13pp

   TEN