Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:05·TEN 0, IND 0

   (10:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota sacked at IND 42 for -8 yards (sack split by 93-J.Sheard and 23-K.Moore II).

   +10pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:42·TEN 0, IND 0

   (11:42) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 84-C.Davis to IND 36 for 7 yards (23-K.Moore II).

   +9pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:01·TEN 0, IND 7

   (14:01) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left intended for 81-J.Smith INTERCEPTED by 31-Q.Wilson at IND 42. 31-Q.Wilson to IND 42 for no gain (81-J.Smith).

   +7pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:09·TEN 0, IND 0

   (5:09) 6-B.Kern punts 58 yards to IND 26, Center-48-B.Brinkley. 80-C.Rogers for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on IND-32-A.Maulet, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at TEN 23.

   +6pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:09·TEN 0, IND 0

   (4:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 84-J.Doyle to TEN 23 for 7 yards (21-M.Butler).

   +5pp

   IND