Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:45·TEN 17, IND 24

   (2:45) (Run formation) 71-D.Kelly reported in as eligible. 29-D.Murray left end to IND 19 for no gain (26-C.Geathers).

   +13pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:53·TEN 17, IND 24

   (7:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep left intended for 13-T.Hilton INTERCEPTED by 23-B.McCain [98-B.Orakpo] at TEN 38. 23-B.McCain to TEN 38 for no gain (13-T.Hilton).

   +9pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 10:55·TEN 17, IND 24

   (10:55) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

   +9pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:41·TEN 17, IND 24

   (3:41) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota left end pushed ob at IND 7 for 14 yards (21-V.Davis). PENALTY on TEN-80-A.Fasano, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at IND 17.

   +9pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:46·TEN 0, IND 0

   (10:46) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep left to 15-P.Dorsett. PENALTY on TEN-30-J.McCourty, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at TEN 48 - No Play.

   +8pp

   IND