Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:35·JAX 26, IND 29

   (1:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 13-R.Greene to IND 25 for 10 yards (23-K.Moore II, 26-C.Geathers). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 13-R.Greene to IND 24 for 11 yards (23-K.Moore II). FUMBLES (23-K.Moore II), RECOVERED by IND-29-M.Hooker at IND 23.

   +37pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:10·JAX 6, IND 7

   (3:10) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 10-D.Moncrief for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:36·JAX 0, IND 6

   (11:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:58·JAX 26, IND 29

   (2:58) 4-A.Vinatieri 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.

   +11pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:45·JAX 23, IND 29

   (3:45) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy to IND 41 for 17 yards (35-P.Desir, 26-C.Geathers).

   +9pp

   JAX