Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:42·IND 27, JAX 30

   (1:42) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete short middle to 83-D.Allen (29-J.Johnson).

   +22pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:10·IND 26, JAX 30

   (3:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 15-P.Dorsett for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:39·IND 0, JAX 0

   (10:39) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left INTERCEPTED by 91-Y.Ngakoue (56-D.Fowler) [56-D.Fowler] at IND 33. 91-Y.Ngakoue to IND 24 for 9 yards (74-A.Castonzo).

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:15·IND 20, JAX 29

   (5:15) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 88-A.Hurns for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:03·IND 3, JAX 7

   (11:03) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass incomplete deep left to 80-C.Rogers. PENALTY on JAX-31-D.House, Defensive Pass Interference, 20 yards, enforced at IND 45 - No Play.

   +11pp

   IND