Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:14·JAX 20, IND 23

   (:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 84-J.Doyle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +35pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:00·JAX 17, IND 17

   (2:00) (Punt formation) 1-P.McAfee punt is BLOCKED by 55-D.Skuta, Center-45-M.Overton, recovered by IND-44-A.Morrison at IND 19. 44-A.Morrison pass incomplete short left to 1-P.McAfee. By rule the next play begins at the previous spot. The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +18pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:19·JAX 17, IND 16

   (:19) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 83-D.Allen for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 11:58·JAX 17, IND 17

   (11:58) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles sacked at IND 32 for -8 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis) [99-T.McGill], RECOVERED by IND-98-R.Mathis at IND 34. 98-R.Mathis to IND 34 for no gain (60-A.Cann). Credit Mathis with a sack for -10 yards.

   +14pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:23·JAX 17, IND 17

   (7:23) (Run formation) 12-A.Luck FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 30, RECOVERED by JAX-99-S.Marks at JAX 32. 99-S.Marks to JAX 32 for no gain (78-R.Kelly).

   +14pp

   JAX