Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:15·KC 39, NE 40

   (3:15) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:22·KC 26, NE 30

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to KC 0. 39-Tr. Smith to NE 3 for 97 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +22pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:51·KC 40, NE 40

   (:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 87-R.Gronkowski to KC 9 for 39 yards (30-J.Shaw). NE 87-Gronkowski 500 career rec, 15th TE to achieve that milestone.

   +19pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:12·KC 3, NE 3

   (5:12) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 87-T.Kelce INTERCEPTED by 54-D.Hightower at KC 31. 54-D.Hightower to KC 4 for 27 yards (84-D.Harris).

   +19pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:20·KC 33, NE 30

   (7:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 15-C.Hogan to KC 24 for 42 yards (23-K.Fuller). Penalty on KC-23-K.Fuller, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +16pp

   NWE