Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:12·KC 3, NE 7

   (2:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-T.Palko pass deep left intended for 15-S.Breaston INTERCEPTED by 24-K.Arrington [50-R.Ninkovich] at NE 18. 24-K.Arrington to NE 46 for 28 yards (20-T.Jones).

   +17pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:25·KC 3, NE 6

   (4:25) (Shotgun) 77-N.Solder reported in as eligible. 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN [27-Do.Washington]. NE 12-Brady 26th straight regular season game with a TD pass, extends Patriots record. NE 87-Gronkowski longest reception of his career. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +16pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 15:00·KC 3, NE 0

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at KC 30 for 0 yards (92-W.Gilberry). FUMBLES (92-W.Gilberry) [92-W.Gilberry], RECOVERED by KC-97-A.Bailey at KC 27. 97-A.Bailey to KC 27 for no gain (76-S.Vollmer).

   +11pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:50·KC 3, NE 0

   (13:50) (Shotgun) 4-T.Palko pass deep right to 82-D.Bowe ran ob at NE 41 for 28 yards.

   +9pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q1 · 1:30·KC 3, NE 0

   6-R.Succop kicks onside 9 yards from KC 35 to KC 44, downed by KC-93-C.Greenwood. Penalty on KC-93-C.Greenwood, Illegal Touch Kick, declined.

   +9pp

   NWE