Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:31·DEN 14, BAL 17

   (2:31) 4-C.Keenum sacked at BAL 35 for -10 yards (55-T.Suggs). FUMBLES (55-T.Suggs) [55-T.Suggs], recovered by DEN-66-J.Veldheer at BAL 37. 66-J.Veldheer to BAL 37 for no gain (55-T.Suggs). PENALTY on DEN-30-P.Lindsay, Disqualification, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 37.

   +17pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:45·DEN 14, BAL 17

   (4:45) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (31-J.Simmons), Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch, RECOVERED by DEN-25-C.Harris at DEN 42. 25-C.Harris for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on DEN-94-D.Peko, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at BAL 39.

   +12pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q2 · 11:01·DEN 14, BAL 10

   (11:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree pushed ob at DEN 32 for 19 yards (29-B.Roby).

   +11pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:40·DEN 0, BAL 0

   (13:40) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch punt is BLOCKED by 43-J.Jones, Center-46-M.Cox, recovered by BAL-37-J.Allen at BAL 4. 37-J.Allen to BAL 6 for 2 yards (47-J.Jewell).

   +9pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:37·DEN 7, BAL 7

   (9:37) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass short middle to 14-C.Sutton to DEN 45 for 16 yards (32-E.Weddle) [90-Z.Smith].

   +8pp

   DEN